The hit rate you need just to break even
What net-of-cost hit rate do you need just to break even?
Delivery
| move pct | hit rate needed pct |
|---|---|
| 0.5 | 50.2% |
| 1 | 50.1% |
| 2 | 50.1% |
Intraday
| move pct | hit rate needed pct |
|---|---|
| 0.5 | 50.1% |
| 1 | 50.0% |
| 2 | 50.0% |
How this is measured
Assumes every win and every loss is the same size, the cost per trade is the round-trip charge on a one-lakh-rupee ticket from the shared cost model, and the question is the hit rate at which expected profit is exactly zero. It is arithmetic, not a market claim: it shows the hurdle any strategy's hit rate must clear before its edge can even begin. Past performance is not indicative of future results.